Vendemmia 2016: le prime previsioni dell’Associazione enologi enotecnici italiani

Pubblichiamo nel file allegato, intergalmente le prime previsioni dell’Associazione Enologi Enotecnici Italiani sulla produzione 2016 valide sino a fine ottobre, periodo in cui presenterà i dati definitivi.

Come di consueto le previsioni quantitative e qualitative vengono formulate non prima che almeno il 10% della produzione sia stata conferita. Mai come quest’anno Assoenologi è stata particolarmente attenta e cauta nelle sue stime, in considerazione del fatto che ormai i cambiamenti climatici possono creare, anche in territori limitrofi, delle trasversalità meteorologiche di tipo tropicale che possono determinare importanti differenze sia dal punto di vista qualitativo che quantitativo. Tutto ciò nella consapevolezza che ogni previsione, anche se non definitiva, può portare a scelte errate da parte dei produttori e influenzare, nel bene e nel male, il mercato. Al di là delle percentuali matematiche certe Assoenologi non ritiene, alla data attuale, di poter dare numeri assoluti, ma stima un quantitativo compreso tra -5% e uguale rispetto allo scorso anno e una qualità ottima con alcune punte di eccellente. Tutto ciò potrebbe comunque variare anche
sensibilmente a seconda dell’andamento climatico dei mesi di settembre e ottobre.

Le rilevazioni sono il risultato dell’elaborazione di migliaia di rilievi ottenuti attraverso diverse fonti. La base è data dalle valutazioni condotte, a livello locale, dalle diciassette Sedi periferiche che Assoenologi ha a copertura dell’intero territorio nazionale. Questi dati vengono quindi confrontati con un’altra moltitudine di informazioni acquisite autonomamente dalla Sede centrale di Assoenologi. Questo modo di operare gli consente da anni di redigere, fra settembre e ottobre, le previsioni sulla produzione in modo obiettivo e veritiero. Il presente dossier è diviso in tre parti. Nella prima viene fatto un quadro sintetico sugli aspetti generali che hanno caratterizzato la produzione. Nella seconda è dettagliata la situazione, regione per regione. La terza parte comprende un giudizio sulle ultime dieci vendemmie ed alcune tabelle sulla produzione vitivinicola italiana.

DOSSIER PRIME PREVISIONI 2016

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